Forecasting Chaotic Stock Market Data using Time Series Data Mining
نویسنده
چکیده
An important financial subject that has attracted researchers' attention for many years is forecasting stock return. Many researchers have contributed in this area of chaotic forecast in their ways. Among them data mining techniques have been successfully shown to generate high forecasting accuracy of stock price movement. Nowadays, instead of a single aspects of stock market, traders need to use various aspects' forecasting to gain multiple signals and more information about the future of the markets. Aspects of Lyapunov, Entropy and Variance (ALEV) provide an approach for mining large stocks of time series data. This paper proposes a novel method for forecasting chaotic behavior of stock market's opening, high, low and closing price with time series data mining. The outcome of this study tries to help the investors in the stock market to decide the better timing for buying or selling stocks based on the knowledge extracted from the historical prices of such stocks.
منابع مشابه
Machine learning algorithms for time series in financial markets
This research is related to the usefulness of different machine learning methods in forecasting time series on financial markets. The main issue in this field is that economic managers and scientific society are still longing for more accurate forecasting algorithms. Fulfilling this request leads to an increase in forecasting quality and, therefore, more profitability and efficiency. In this pa...
متن کاملMining Stock Market Tendency Using GA-Based Support Vector Machines
In this study, a hybrid intelligent data mining methodology, genetic algorithm based support vector machine (GASVM) model, is proposed to explore stock market tendency. In this hybrid data mining approach, GA is used for variable selection in order to reduce the model complexity of SVM and improve the speed of SVM, and then the SVM is used to identify stock market movement direction based on th...
متن کاملForecasting Of Tehran Stock Exchange Index by Using Data Mining Approach Based on Artificial Intelligence Algorithms
Uncertainty in the capital market means the difference between the expected values and the amounts that actually occur. Designing different analytical and forecasting methods in the capital market is also less likely due to the high amount of this and the need to know future prices with greater certainty or uncertainty. In order to capitalize on the capital market, investors have always sough...
متن کاملStock Market Direction Prediction Using Data Mining Classification
The key of success in stock trading is to buy and sell stocks at the right time for the right price. “Buy Low, Sell High” sounds easy, but it is so difficult to carry out since the direction of stock market in the near future is almost unpredictable. With the advances in data mining, it has now become possible to predict the future market direction based on historical data. In this study, diffe...
متن کاملForecasting Stock Price using Hybrid Model based on Wavelet Transform in Tehran and New York Stock Market
Forecasting financial markets is an important issue in finance area and research studies. On one hand, the importance of prediction, and on the other hand, its complexity, have led to huge number of researches which have proposed many forecasting methods in this area. In this study, we propose a hybrid model including Wavelet Transform, ARMA-GARCH and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for single-...
متن کامل